Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.020676 0.022366 0.024129 0.026106 0.028264 0.030548 0.033151
2025-09-21 0.017717 0.020113 0.022746 0.025863 0.029456 0.033478 0.038333
2025-09-28 0.015907 0.018717 0.021930 0.025888 0.030647 0.036207 0.043222
2025-10-05 0.014502 0.017563 0.021177 0.025775 0.031499 0.038424 0.047490
2025-10-12 0.013513 0.016776 0.020734 0.025915 0.032561 0.040853 0.052066
2025-10-19 0.012659 0.016062 0.020291 0.025967 0.033445 0.043036 0.056393
2025-10-26 0.011896 0.015392 0.019832 0.025929 0.034157 0.044980 0.060464
2025-11-02 0.011235 0.014801 0.019418 0.025894 0.034832 0.046867 0.064523
2025-11-09 0.010494 0.014049 0.018737 0.025437 0.034875 0.047858 0.067347
2025-11-16 0.009832 0.013361 0.018093 0.024977 0.034861 0.048733 0.070014
2025-11-23 0.009360 0.012906 0.017736 0.024886 0.035344 0.050311 0.073767
2025-11-30 0.008903 0.012442 0.017338 0.024702 0.035665 0.051648 0.077211
2025-12-07 0.008468 0.012006 0.016977 0.024584 0.036121 0.053278 0.081321
2025-12-14 0.008026 0.011537 0.016547 0.024341 0.036379 0.054629 0.085099
2025-12-21 0.007695 0.011211 0.016306 0.024362 0.037029 0.056606 0.089989
2025-12-28 0.007357 0.010855 0.015998 0.024256 0.037464 0.058253 0.094428
2026-01-04 0.007106 0.010617 0.015851 0.024387 0.038271 0.060525 0.100040
2026-01-11 0.006852 0.010361 0.015663 0.024436 0.038939 0.062594 0.105426
2026-01-18 0.006596 0.010088 0.015432 0.024400 0.039456 0.064430 0.110511
2026-01-25 0.006359 0.009832 0.015214 0.024367 0.039970 0.066277 0.115722
2026-02-01 0.006050 0.009447 0.014772 0.023940 0.039784 0.066900 0.118735
2026-02-08 0.005760 0.009081 0.014342 0.023509 0.039563 0.067441 0.121614
2026-02-15 0.005559 0.008851 0.014123 0.023424 0.039938 0.069048 0.126592